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  • Admin 3:58 pm on December 3, 2017 Permalink  

    Winter air arriving mid-week, but snow chances remain slim (for now) 

    As I mentioned a few days ago, our next chance for rain arrives Wednesday, and with it, some of the coldest air we’ve seen so far this fall/winter. We’ll likely only reach the low 40s Thursday through Tuesday of the following week, with lows in the mid to upper 20s. We may squeeze a few snow flakes out of Wednesday’s system as cold air rushes in behind it as it exits, but so far, models have most of the system passing too far to the east to leave much moisture over us at the same time as the cold air, as you can see below in the 12z GFS model run (first image) and 12z ECMWF model run (second image).

    modelmodel2

    Granted, this is still roughly 130 hours out, so there IS time for this to change, but for now, I wouldn’t get too excited for our first real snow just yet. On the other hand, the pattern is going to stay favorable through much of mid-December with below normal temperatures and a split-flow jet stream whereby the southern branch feeds moisture across the southeast and mid-atlantic while the northern branch supplies cold air over the east. So don’t despair just yet either. I think odds are decent of our first snow (probably a minor event) occurring before Christmas.

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  • Admin 8:27 pm on November 30, 2017 Permalink  

    Warm and mild pattern lingers a bit longer but big changes coming 

    The rest of this week, the weekend, and the first half of next week will be quite ideal for getting those leaves up off the yard (and Christmas shopping) as we will stay dry and mild with highs around 60.

    Our next chance for rain doesn’t arrive until next Wednesday, and that front will herald the arrival of some pretty cold air, even for this time of year. More on that as we get closer.

     
  • Admin 6:00 am on November 25, 2017 Permalink  

    Slight warm up this week; staying dry 

    Capture

     
  • Admin 7:32 am on November 23, 2017 Permalink  

    Thanksgiving Day/Black Friday forecast 

    Happy Thanksgiving! It’ll be chillier today with highs only in the upper 40s/low 50s but will stay partly to mostly sunny through the weekend. Saturday in particular should be quite nice with highs around 60 again. Overall, next week is looking mostly sunny and in the mid to upper 50s.

     
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